Breaking Badly: Forecasting California Earthquakes is the title of the May 21st USGS public lecture to be given by Morgan Page, USGS Research Geophysicist. He’ll cover:
- Scientists cannot currently predict the precise time, location, and size of future damaging earthquakes.
- Historical records of earthquakes in California date back over 150 years.
- Geologist have dug trenches to extend the known history on some faults back to around 1,000 years before today!
- We are learning more about the behavior of large earthquakes, such as the possibility for earthquakes to “link up” multiple geologic faults and the ability of one earthquake to trigger others.
- This information is being used to develop new, sophisticated earthquake forecasting models and to better determine the likely effects of future earthquakes in California.
The lecture is free and takes place at the USGS campus in Menlo Park.